Current Commentary

Now it's clear, the Affordable Care Act was the ultimate "progressive" tax increase. Back in the '80's taxpayers rose up and forced Congress to index tax brackets so that inflation did not artificially force middle class earners to pay taxes at the same rate as the wealthy. The Obamacare taxes are not indexed, meaning over time, the middle class will [...]

Our clients’ managed accounts were up a fraction of a percent in the quarter just concluded, in line with the quiet performance of both stock and bond indexes.  While we are still compiling the figures, it appears a composite of size weighted client portfolios averaged between 9% and 10% per year over the past five years.

The Markets
Following the explosive upward action in equities that capped off a healthy 2014 for long positioned investors, the first quarter was burdened by three albatrosses:   A large portion of the country, particularly the Northeast was socked by repeated snowstorms and extreme winter weather that kept shoppers at home and construction activity frozen. On the West Coast, the Longshoreman's union battled management in a slowdown/strike that cost retailers at least $7BB in lost sales and countless $ billions for farmers whose exports were delayed or cancelled.

Utilities have always represented a significant component of our Balanced-Value portfolios. We try to find opportunities in an evolving industry.

Utilities Push Into Fuel Stations for Electric Cars
The New York Times | By Diane Cardwell
Since hitting the mass market about five years ago, electric vehicles have failed to take off, largely, experts say, because a robust network of public charging stations has not been built. Car companies, retail chains and members of an infant charger industry have announced... Read More

Amazing- yet another administration will dodge this minefield and pass it on to …us.

Obama’s What-Me-Worry Social Security Plan
Barron's | By Jim McTague
Leave the country’s biggest fiscal mess for the next guy. That is President Barack Obama’s strategy for addressing the disintegrating Social Security Trust Fund. The massive monument to Democratic Party progressivism, which comprises the $2.7 trillion Old-Age and Survivors Insurance program and the $70 billion Disability Insurance program, is on course to begin spilling red ink in 2019. Like prosperity, that’s just around the corner—beginning in the third year of our next president’s first term. The disability program will go red... Read More

Great article that reminds us how indolent and unresponsive are many corporate boardrooms. Just this AM, American Tower's (AMT) board disappointed when they were unable to provide deep color on a large purchase of cell phone towers from Verizon at what appear to be the lowest margins of any of this REIT's recent acquisitions. Perhaps they need to hear from activist investors as did Tim Cook shortly before announcing a share split, buy backs and dividend increases for Apple (AAPL) about a year ago (and look what that did for the stock!).

Capitalism’s unlikely heroes
Economist
AS INVENTIONS go, the public company is one of capitalism’s greatest. Initial public offerings promote innovation, by providing an exit route for entrepreneurs; being listed makes a firm open to scrutiny; and ordinary people have a chance to invest in capitalism’s wealth-creating machines. But the past 15 years have cast a shadow over the public company. There was not much sign of scrutiny or wealth creation in fiascos like Enron and Lehman Brothers. Governance has been weakened by the rise of passive index funds... Read More

I try to learn from the best, and Klarman whose 1992 book "Margin of Safety" now sells for $2,000 on Amazon is among the best. His simple rules are classic value thinking. He is willing to hold cash when the good companies are no longer available at bargain prices. We may be in such a time.

Seth Klarman: What I’ve learned from Warren Buffett
Financial Times | By Seth Klarman
As Warren Buffett was a student of Benjamin Graham, today we are all students of Warren Buffett. He has become wealthy and famous from his investing. He is of great interest, however, not because of these things but in spite of them. He is, first and foremost, a teacher, a deep thinker who shares in his writings and speeches the depth, breadth, clarity, and evolution of his ideas. Read More